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April 7, 2000

MARKETING
MARKETING
MARKETING

By Bryce Myrick
Director, TFB Agricultural Marketing Education

If you have not marketed your 2000 crops, my question to you is, "Why not?" Since January 1st, I have recommended that you need to have your crops sold before May 1st.

My recommendation in Cotton was to use the December Futures and sell about 35 percent of your estimated production at 62 cents and about 35 percent at 64 cents. The market traded up to 64.50 and is now at 61.30.

For Corn and Beans, we should be marketing now. The December Corn is $2.58 and the $2.60 Call is 24 cents. November Beans are trading at $5.56 and the $5.75 Call is at 42 cents. I think selling these Calls are good strategies. Example:

(1) December Corn Futures are trading at $2.58

(2) Sell the December Corn $2.60 Call for 24 cents

(3) If Corn stays below $2.60, you net 24 cents

(4) If Corn moves up from $2.58 to $2.75, you get a 17 cents increase in Corn and make 9› profit from the Call

(5) If Corn moves up from $2.58 to $3.00, you get a 42 cents increase in Corn but lose 16 cents in the Call.

If I can help you in any way, give me a call.

To set up workshops or for help with your hedging needs, call 254-751-2242 or 915-698-0355 or e-mail: bbmyrick@swconnect.com.

December - Cotton

cotton040700.jpg (34381 bytes)

Fundamentals: Good rains in Texas Panhandle. May have increased acreage.
Technical Analysis: Trend—Up/Resistance—64.50/Support 59.60

 

December - Corn

corn040700.jpg (34263 bytes)

Fundamentals: China selling on U.S. rallies. Weather will be a factor.
Technical Analysis: Trend—Up/Resistance—2.64/Support—2.51

 

September - Feeder Cattle

Cattle040700.jpg (33327 bytes)

Fundamentals: Live Cattle above 72.00. Boxed beef sales excellent.
Technical Analysis: Trend—Sideways/Resistance—82.20/Support—85.30

 

November - Soybeans

soybean040700.jpg (35425 bytes)

Fundamentals: Wet in Brazil. Some U.S. bean acreage may move to corn.
Technical Analysis: Trend—Up/Resistance—5.59/Support—5.31